Mar 8, 2022·edited Mar 8, 2022Liked by Colin Sims

If we are citing "realpolitik", it is natural (but short-sighted) for the US to support a proxy war between Ukraine and Russia. As Mearsheimer wrote, pushing Russia towards China is unwise from that perspective.

Who is driving Western policy? The last two years fit the pattern of throwing wrenches into the gears of commerce to reduce fossil fuel use, while maintaining plausible deniability.

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That is a very intriguing question. The WEF? But honestly, I don't know. I admit that sometimes in my reading I indulge in "conspiracy theories,"—of an embarrassingly wide variety I might add—but I'm hesitant to write that kind of material here. Maybe I should?

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The problem with conspiracy theories is that there are so many to get caught up in, and the evidence is so shaky. Still, inferring the unknown from what is undisputed would be useful in these times of information warfare. I need to learn more about Bayesian network theory and "inferring unobserved variables". Are there other tools?


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